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Predictions · Updated September 2026

Geopolitics Predictions

The Predictions section isn't just crypto. Here's what this category covers, with real markets seen at our operators.

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Predictions not offered in Ontario, Alberta or British Columbia. 18+ or 19+.

Active markets21 at Ice and 21 at FS Casino, at the time of our visit, September 24, 2026
Example 1 (FS Casino)"Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?" — 4% Yes (odds 22.75), 96% No (1.01); US$43M volume; deadline December 31, 2026
Example 2 (FS Casino)"Netanyahu out by…?" — 48% for December 31 (Yes 1.90 / No 1.74); the June 30 deadline has already settled; US$124M volume

What the category covers

Geopolitics markets cover conflicts, leaders and international decisions. They often carry the section's biggest volumes: US$43M on the China–Taiwan question, US$124M on Benjamin Netanyahu's future at the time of our visit. A market with several deadlines settles date by date: the June 30 one had already settled, the December 31 one was still open.

These markets are about real events with serious human consequences. We describe them for information only, without recommendation.

How to read a market

Each market asks a closed question with a deadline. The percentage shown is the probability the market gives to "Yes"; the Yes and No odds follow from it. Odds of 22.75 on Yes equal roughly a 4% chance; odds of 1.01 on No, nearly 100%. The volume, shown in US dollars, is the money already staked. To turn odds into a probability, see how to read odds.

Predictions section not offered in Ontario, Alberta or British Columbia. Offered in the other provinces. Legal age: 18 or 19 depending on province.

Other categories: Culture · Economy and finance · Predictions guide

Set a weekly budget, not a per-bet one. See our responsible gambling page.

Frequently asked questions

What does a "settled" market mean?

The deadline has passed and the outcome is known: at FS Casino, the line then shows "Loss" or "Win" instead of odds.

Why odds of 1.01?

Because the market sees the outcome as almost certain (about 99%). The payout is tiny: $1 profit on a $100 stake.

Where is the Predictions section offered?

Everywhere in Canada except Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia.

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